Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.020662 0.022345 0.024100 0.026068 0.028213 0.030484 0.033070
2025-09-14 0.017779 0.020195 0.022851 0.025995 0.029621 0.033681 0.038581
2025-09-21 0.015750 0.018547 0.021745 0.025686 0.030427 0.035966 0.042955
2025-09-28 0.014461 0.017533 0.021162 0.025783 0.031538 0.038505 0.047628
2025-10-05 0.013347 0.016588 0.020522 0.025675 0.032287 0.040539 0.051703
2025-10-12 0.012519 0.015906 0.020116 0.025773 0.033229 0.042796 0.056124
2025-10-19 0.011810 0.015306 0.019748 0.025854 0.034102 0.044957 0.060494
2025-10-26 0.011125 0.014680 0.019288 0.025757 0.034692 0.046730 0.064397
2025-11-02 0.010561 0.014171 0.018938 0.025764 0.035393 0.048655 0.068585
2025-11-09 0.009917 0.013511 0.018339 0.025375 0.035495 0.049719 0.071570
2025-11-16 0.009305 0.012858 0.017706 0.024890 0.035412 0.050485 0.074124
2025-11-23 0.008855 0.012405 0.017323 0.024732 0.035775 0.051893 0.077689
2025-11-30 0.008408 0.011949 0.016933 0.024569 0.036166 0.053428 0.081658
2025-12-07 0.008003 0.011534 0.016582 0.024447 0.036613 0.055080 0.085933
2025-12-14 0.007583 0.011072 0.016135 0.024150 0.036764 0.056266 0.089523
2025-12-21 0.007300 0.010800 0.015952 0.024239 0.037509 0.058412 0.094798
2025-12-28 0.006990 0.010469 0.015661 0.024138 0.037935 0.060056 0.099324
2026-01-04 0.006751 0.010233 0.015502 0.024230 0.038670 0.062230 0.104879
2026-01-11 0.006524 0.010005 0.015340 0.024306 0.039374 0.064380 0.110516
2026-01-18 0.006275 0.009728 0.015087 0.024214 0.039785 0.066047 0.115390
2026-01-25 0.006063 0.009501 0.014901 0.024221 0.040357 0.068011 0.120916
2026-02-01 0.005787 0.009156 0.014509 0.023858 0.040265 0.068799 0.124305
2026-02-08 0.005509 0.008798 0.014077 0.023405 0.039986 0.069232 0.127035